Merger Probability League Table
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Raghavan said that 'we will see (deals involving) national champions, and we will see transformational deals.............Next year is when dinner will be served.............I see commercial banks buying commercial banks, and investment banks as the final icing on the cake'.
Well, we asked you to let us have your views about who you think is likely to merge with who. Here's our final 'Merger Probability League Table', which has been compiled on the basis of your posts.
1. Bank of America / Barclays - 13.5% of respondents thought this deal most likely
2. Citigroup / Deutsche Bank - 7.5%
3. Wachovia / Royal Bank of Scotland - 7.3%
4. ABN Amro / Lloyds TSB - 7.2%
5. JP Morgan Chase / Morgan Stanley - 6.4%
6. Merrill Lynch / Jefferies & Co - 5.7%
7. Deutsche Bank / Commerzbank - 5.5%
8. Credit Suisse / Deutsche Bank - 4.3%
9. UBS / Morgan Stanley - 4.2%
10. UBS / Credit Suisse - 4.1%
11. Deutsche Bank / Dresdner Bank - 4.0%
12. SocGen / BNP Paribas - 3.6%
13. Citigroup / Commerzbank - 3.5%
14. BNP Paribas / Credit Agricole - 3.4%
15. Bank of America / Fidelity Investments - 2.6%
16. HSBC / Morgan Stanley - 2.3%
17. Dresdner Bank / Commerzbank - 2.2%
18. ABN Amro / Royal Bank of Scotland - 2.0%
19. Bank of America / Lloyds TSB - 1.8%
20. HSBC / JP Morgan Chase - 1.6%
21. Credit Suisse / Barclays Bank - 1.5%
=22. HSBC / Bear Stearns - 1.4%
=22. Bank of America / ABN Amro - 1.4%
24. HSBC / Lehman Brothers - 1.2%
25. Citigroup / JP Morgan Chase - 1.1%
26. SocGen / Credit Agricole - 0.7%
