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Lehman Brothers Is No Bear Stearns

last updated: 17 March 2008
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Finance Professionals - September 2008
Stonewall
The jig is up for Bear Stearns, as the 85 year-old Wall Street firm agreed to be taken over by JPMorgan Chase Sunday eveniing in a deal worth around $240m (about $2 a share).

But, even before the Bear drama had played itself out, market-watchers were wondering if other firms are likely to find themselves in similar trouble. Although Bear's shares fell 47% Friday, Lehman Brothers shares closed 15% down, with falls also at Citi (6.1%) and Bank of America (3.9%).

Lehman is the firm viewed to be the most like Bear, and that explains why the firm's shares took a dive Friday, but it is unlikely to suffer in the same way as its rival. Bloomberg quotes Douglas Ciocca from Renaissance Financial Corp., who said that 'the firms are very different....probably more than anything in how they manage risk. Lehman had very limited exposure to the sort of things that have brought the downfall of Bear Stearns...To me, Lehman's trading at book value. These are trough valuations for a company that should continue to have a very strong franchise, because they have reasonably diversified streams of revenue'.

Adding to the argument that Lehman will not go the same way as Bear is the determined manner in which the US Federal Reserve moved to help JPMorgan complete the Bear deal in record time - just over two days. The Feb showed that it will do all that is required to prevent a meltdown of the banking system, and the confidence that this will inspire is likely to stop any run on essentially strong firms like Lehman Brothers. It's now time to stop the panic, and start being rational. 

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Martin Ward Anderson
Financial Markets HR
DirectConnect July 08
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