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New Banking Rules Likely To Mean More Job Cuts, Less Pay

last updated: 10 September 2009
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The Wall Street Journal reports that, according to a new report issued by JPMorgan, the proposed 'global crackdown on bank capital and other rule changes' is likely to reduce the return on equity enjoyed by investment banks to around 11% by 2011.

And this will probably mean that investment banks will shed yet more staff to rein in costs further, and reduce compensation. JPMorgan believes that Deutsche Bank's workforce would be among the worst affected, with 7% (or 1,350 staff) being axed. On average, the bank feels that firms' headcount will fall a further 3%.

JPMorgan also believes that BNP Paribas may need to reduce its cost-per employees (compensation pot) by 39%, while French rival Societe Generale could need to reduce its cost-per-employee by 18%, and warns of 'very low levels of compensation' in 2011.

In the meantime, Bloomberg reports that Commerzbank CEO Martin Blessing has called for a ban on guaranteed bonuses, with a focus on long-terms compensation programs. Cynics suggest that this is merely Blessing's way of levelling the playing field, after effecting imposing a ban on guaranteed bonuses at his own bank!

And Associated Press reports that Dutch banks have now all signed up to a new code of conduct for executives, which includes bonus caps, and links pay-outs to long-term performance.

Finally, Bloomberg reports that Citi analysts have said that UBS might not attract new client money into its wealth management businesses until 2011, after losing thousands of financial advisors (2,147 in the 18 months to June, with a further 678 expected to go in the second half of this year). The Swiss bank has now seen 5 consecutive quarters of client redemptions.

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